Well, I already made a long post about tonight but I forgot to save it. So that's down the tubes and I'm just going to post my picks.
Last night: (0-1)(.000)
Day three: -300.00
Week to date:-800.00
Week to date:(2-5) (.286)
Today's Pick:
3 team teaser (7 pts)
Washington +11 (+4)
Utah +8 (+1)
Miami +4 (-3)
125.00/104.00
3 team teaser (7 pts)
San Antonio -7.5 (-14.5)
Phoenix -7.5 (-14.5)
Cleveland +8 (+1)
175.00/145.83
Friday, January 19, 2007
Thursday, January 18, 2007
NBA. NCAA. Best Bets 1/18/07
Last night was rough and the first two days of the week are looking pretty bleek, again though I will try to remain the eternal optimist, there are still 5 more days left, including big NFL games this weekend. Tonight I don't like to much on the board so I think I'm going to play a teaser.
Last night: (1-1)(50%)
Buffalo (NHL) (-250) 150.00/60.00 Win
Phoenix -3 (1st half line)(NBA) (-105) 250.00/238.10 Loss
Day 2: -190.00
Week to date: -500.00
Week to date: 2-4 (.333)
Today's Pick:
3 team basketball teaser 7 pts
Arizona + 6 (-1)
Duke -8 (-15)
La Lakers +17 (+10)
300.00/250.00
Last night: (1-1)(50%)
Buffalo (NHL) (-250) 150.00/60.00 Win
Phoenix -3 (1st half line)(NBA) (-105) 250.00/238.10 Loss
Day 2: -190.00
Week to date: -500.00
Week to date: 2-4 (.333)
Today's Pick:
3 team basketball teaser 7 pts
Arizona + 6 (-1)
Duke -8 (-15)
La Lakers +17 (+10)
300.00/250.00
Wednesday, January 17, 2007
NBA. NCAA. Best Bets 1/17/07
Alright, after another brief absence from posting I am back, the past few weeks have been up and down, although after looking at most of my picks and the results I've decided to start keeping numbers on a week to week basis to better assess where my weaknesses and strengths are located.
So far this week, has turned out pretty bad after one day. But when there is a negative, a positive remains on the other side and my positive is that I still have 6 more days to make it up.
Last night: (1-3) (25%)
Team League/Odds Amount Result
Houston +8.0 (NBA) (-110) 150.00/135.00 L
Cleveland -2.5 (NBA) (-110) 150.00/135.00 L
Pittsburgh -7 (NCAAB) (-110) 100.00/90.00 W
Air Force -7 (NCAAB) (-110) 100.00/90.00 L
Day 1: -310.00
While I won't be writing up every pick I make from here on out, picks that I feel strongly about I will do a brief write up on.
Today's Picks:
Buffalo (NHL)(-250) 150.00/60.00
- Buffalo is coming off a tough shoot out loss at Boston just 2 days ago. Luckily for the Sabres, Boston is pretty bad on the road with a less than .500 record. Boston is also a paltry 1-5 (.167) their last 6 road games and they are also 2-9 (.182) in their last 11 against Buffalo. Although the money line is so high, I believe this game is a good value for Buffalo backers because of the revenge factor. -
Phoenix -3(1st half line) (NBA)(-105) 250.00/238.10
Who doesn't love the Suns?? They play a great style of basketball and unlike many teams that try to emulate their style, they are one of the few teams around that actually have the personnel to run it. Amare Stoudemire's injury last year might have been a blessing in disguise, I don't know if Marion, Diaw and Bell would have had career years last year with Stoudemire in the lineup, it gave them time to mesh better with Nash, along with raising their confidence in their own abilities. With the addition of Stoudemire, not only does Nash have another weapon at his disposal on the fast break but more importantly a big man who can play pick and roll in the half court, also it has been harped on many times before but Stoudemire brings an imposing presence in the paint.
Enough with my lovefest for the Suns. Why do I like them tonight? Well a few reasons....
1. Tracy McGrady's back. I know TMac will play tonight and I know that maybe for a half he's going to get his but when Van Gundy finally has to give him a break in the game, will his back flare up again?? Even if TMac is injured, he is still a dangerous scorer, however, who else is going to be able to step up if he can't score?
2. Age. Dikembe Mutumbo has been very active on the boards filling in admirably for the injured Yao Ming, he has been seeing more minutes than usual and has been playing good defense for Van Gundy and what more can you ask for out of a 40 year old center? As well as Mutumbo has performed on the glass, his offense has been abysmal, he had only 3 pts in 28 minutes in the loss to Dallas last night. For the Rockets, this game couldn't come at a worse time. A back to back can't be to kind to the likes of Mutumbo, Juwan Howard and even McGrady to an extent. Are they going to be able to run the floor all night? I don't really think so
3. Phoenix dominates halves. Looking at the last ten games the Suns have played, it has become obvious that during the first half these guys pummel people. During the last ten Phoenix has averaged an astonishing 61.1 pts per half, not coincidentally these large point amounts also register to large leads, on average they go into the half with about an 8.8 pt lead over their opponent. Also on 5 of those occasions the Suns have gone into the half with a double digit lead.
4. History. Everyone knows that Houston loves to play half court, slow the game down, get the ball to playmakers and play good half court defense. Observers see the Suns vs. the Rockets as a clash of styles and everyone knows they can't play full court with Phoenix so they try to slow the game down. As good of a coach as JVG is, past evidence supports the theory that as much as he tries, he cannot slow the Suns down. Here are the half totals for the last 3 head to head matchups between the teams.
2-16-06 Phoenix 63 Houston 31
2-27-06* Phoenix 52 Houston 49
11-29-06 Phoenix 57 Houston 40
*On 2-27-06, the line for the whole game was PHX -2, so in theory PHX covered that first half
So far this week, has turned out pretty bad after one day. But when there is a negative, a positive remains on the other side and my positive is that I still have 6 more days to make it up.
Last night: (1-3) (25%)
Team League/Odds Amount Result
Houston +8.0 (NBA) (-110) 150.00/135.00 L
Cleveland -2.5 (NBA) (-110) 150.00/135.00 L
Pittsburgh -7 (NCAAB) (-110) 100.00/90.00 W
Air Force -7 (NCAAB) (-110) 100.00/90.00 L
Day 1: -310.00
While I won't be writing up every pick I make from here on out, picks that I feel strongly about I will do a brief write up on.
Today's Picks:
Buffalo (NHL)(-250) 150.00/60.00
- Buffalo is coming off a tough shoot out loss at Boston just 2 days ago. Luckily for the Sabres, Boston is pretty bad on the road with a less than .500 record. Boston is also a paltry 1-5 (.167) their last 6 road games and they are also 2-9 (.182) in their last 11 against Buffalo. Although the money line is so high, I believe this game is a good value for Buffalo backers because of the revenge factor. -
Phoenix -3(1st half line) (NBA)(-105) 250.00/238.10
Who doesn't love the Suns?? They play a great style of basketball and unlike many teams that try to emulate their style, they are one of the few teams around that actually have the personnel to run it. Amare Stoudemire's injury last year might have been a blessing in disguise, I don't know if Marion, Diaw and Bell would have had career years last year with Stoudemire in the lineup, it gave them time to mesh better with Nash, along with raising their confidence in their own abilities. With the addition of Stoudemire, not only does Nash have another weapon at his disposal on the fast break but more importantly a big man who can play pick and roll in the half court, also it has been harped on many times before but Stoudemire brings an imposing presence in the paint.
Enough with my lovefest for the Suns. Why do I like them tonight? Well a few reasons....
1. Tracy McGrady's back. I know TMac will play tonight and I know that maybe for a half he's going to get his but when Van Gundy finally has to give him a break in the game, will his back flare up again?? Even if TMac is injured, he is still a dangerous scorer, however, who else is going to be able to step up if he can't score?
2. Age. Dikembe Mutumbo has been very active on the boards filling in admirably for the injured Yao Ming, he has been seeing more minutes than usual and has been playing good defense for Van Gundy and what more can you ask for out of a 40 year old center? As well as Mutumbo has performed on the glass, his offense has been abysmal, he had only 3 pts in 28 minutes in the loss to Dallas last night. For the Rockets, this game couldn't come at a worse time. A back to back can't be to kind to the likes of Mutumbo, Juwan Howard and even McGrady to an extent. Are they going to be able to run the floor all night? I don't really think so
3. Phoenix dominates halves. Looking at the last ten games the Suns have played, it has become obvious that during the first half these guys pummel people. During the last ten Phoenix has averaged an astonishing 61.1 pts per half, not coincidentally these large point amounts also register to large leads, on average they go into the half with about an 8.8 pt lead over their opponent. Also on 5 of those occasions the Suns have gone into the half with a double digit lead.
4. History. Everyone knows that Houston loves to play half court, slow the game down, get the ball to playmakers and play good half court defense. Observers see the Suns vs. the Rockets as a clash of styles and everyone knows they can't play full court with Phoenix so they try to slow the game down. As good of a coach as JVG is, past evidence supports the theory that as much as he tries, he cannot slow the Suns down. Here are the half totals for the last 3 head to head matchups between the teams.
2-16-06 Phoenix 63 Houston 31
2-27-06* Phoenix 52 Houston 49
11-29-06 Phoenix 57 Houston 40
*On 2-27-06, the line for the whole game was PHX -2, so in theory PHX covered that first half
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