Thursday, April 27, 2006

NBA: Playoffs April 27

Last night: 1-1-1
Overall:16-17-2 (.484)
Basketball:15-17-2
Baseball:1-0

Tonight we finally get to see the favorites go on the road for their first away game. The Heat, not surprisingly are favorites in Chicago. Chicago has shot lights out in their first two games, played their D against Shaq, they pretty much have played perfectly and they still lose both. Meanwhile, the Clippers, The Los Angeles Clippers, can put a stranglehold on Denver if they can pull away with a win. Finally, New Jersey goes to Indy (Such a boring series) where it looks to take a 2-1 series lead.

Miami -1
LAC +4.5
Indy -1

MLB:
STL -172
BOS -144

Wednesday, April 26, 2006

NBA: Playoffs April 26

Last night: 1-3-0
Overall: 15-16-1 (.483)
Basketball: 14-16-1
Baseball: 1-0

So its a good thing I didn't bet anything straight up last night, because i would have lost everything thus prompting me to sell myself to overweight lonely women who have a fetish for asian boys. Right now I will give you some quick picks, although most likely I will tease most of the games.

Mil +11
Pho -5
Dal -6.5

Tuesday, April 25, 2006

NBA: Playoffs April 25

Last night: 1-0-1
Overall: 14-13-1(.518) (13-11-1 ATS)(1-2 O/U)

Here are my quick picks for the night, check before game time because I'm not really sure about the games yet.

Cleveland -4
Indiana +7
San Antonio -11

I'm reluctant to take a double digit favorite in a playoff game, however it is the Spurs who look like a different team during the playoffs, Tony Parker knows no one can stop him and will assert himself even more tonight.

Bonus Pick: MLB

Boston -135
Schilling is back to Cy Young form and teaming up with the young flamethrower Papelbon they form a dangerous tandem.

Monday, April 24, 2006

NBA: Playoffs April 24

The playoffs have started and if you were like me, instead of studying most of the weekend you sat in front of the TV watching the glorious quadruple headers that included Lebrons virtuoso performance, Kobe finally realizing he has teammates and deferring to them!!! along with the usual dominance we have come to expect from both the Spurs and the Pistons.

I bet on two games during the weekend, both underdogs too.

Lakers +7
Pacers +7

Overall: 13-13 (12-11 ATS)(1-2 O/U)

I have quick picks for tonight, although i don't know if i'll actually bet on them.

Chicago +7
LAC -3

Friday, April 07, 2006

NBA: Friday April 7

Pick: DET -3.5 (vs. Orlando)
DAL +4.5 (vs. SA)
PHX -8.5 (vs. LAL)

Overall: 9-12 (8-10 ATS)(1-2 O/U)

Monday, April 03, 2006

NCAA Tournament: Championship night

Last night: 0-1
Overall: 8-11 (7-10 ATS)(1-1 O/U)


I've been in a bit of a slump lately, tonight however, will change that as my predictions for the NCAA championship game will be on point.


Florida (20-11-1 ATS, 12-20-0 O/U) vs. UCLA (22-12-0 ATS, 12-22-0 O/U)
Line: Florida -1
O/U:128.5

Under, Under, UNDER

Under is 8-2-0 in UCLA's last 10 neutral site games, while at the same time Florida has been under (5-0) in their 5 tournament games so far. Florida does like to run alot but UCLA has the athletes (as seen by the LSU and Memphis games) to make them play more of a halfcourt game. The big difference between a team like Memphis and Florida is that Florida is a lot better (in my opinion) at running their half court sets and getting a good shot. This game should be alot similiar in score to the Florida- Georgetown game (UCLA basically is a West Coast Big East team).

Pick: UNDER 128.5

Who to pick???

I've been mulling this game all day long and still haven't come up with a concrete pick, so I'll sort out my thoughts here and finally make a pick. In their tournament games not only has Florida hit the under everytime but they have also covered every time. (Stupid me for not riding them) UCLA conversely has only gone 3-2 ATS in the same game span. However, UCLA has performed admirably as dogs this year going 7-2 ATS when they are in that position and they are 6-1 ATS when the spread is 3 or less. They both played LSU late in the year with both producing convincing victories at a neutral site, although it is worth noting that Florida played LSU sans Tyrus Thomas (vs. UCLA 5 pts, 6 rebs, 3 blks). Defensive FG% is always an important thing to look at and to my surprise Florida actually boasts a better defensive FG% ( 40%, 23rd nationally) than UCLA (41.4%, 66th nationally). Florida is also better at guarding the 3 pt line which could become an issue for both teams considering the 3 pt shooters that will be on the floor for both teams (Farmar, Affalo, Humphrey, Green and Corey Brewer). Even though UCLA has played some of the best defense I've seen a long time from a college team I believe Florida has some advantages that LSU and Memphis did not have against UCLA. First, like mentioned before, Florida does like to run but they have two big men who can handle the ball in Noah and Horford and they run better half court sets than does Memphis. Secondly, Florida is not doomed like LSU if they can not establish their big men early. They have 3 players who can step out and consistently hit big shots unlike LSU who only had one primary 3 point shooter. We have seen in past years that 3 point shooters who get hot can make a huge difference in a title game (anyone remember Gerry McNamara when 'Cuse won their national title a few years ago??). With that said my pick is

PICK: FLORIDA -1

Sunday, April 02, 2006

NBA: Sunday April 2

So, LSU, AHHHHHH!!!!!! now that I got that out I can clear my head and make some winning picks for the night.

Last 2 nights: 2-2 (2-2 ATS)
Overall: 8-10, .444 (7-10 ATS)(1-0 O/U)

L.A.C vs. Sac
Line: Sac -3.5
O/U:196
Pick:Under 196

Saturday, April 01, 2006

Final Four

Games:
Florida -6 vs. George Mason
UCLA +2 vs. LSU

Picks:
Florida -6
LSU -2